Here are five players that I would avoid in your fantasy draft.
Some of these come with big upside and could have good seasons,but I bet they are overdrafted and go way before their eventual numbers indicate that they should...
1) Colin Kaepernick QB San Francisco 49ers
Kaepernick seems to have it all for fantasy success-big name,running ability and a wide open offensive system.
The problem is much of that is either gone or off an reputation that was better than he is.
The 49ers lost Jim Harbaugh as coach,Frank Gore in the backfield and Michael Crabtree at receiver.
Torrey Smith replaces Crabtree,but what Smith does best (run deep) is what Kaepernick does worst (throw deep).
Add in streaks of inaccurate passing and you have good reason to avoid Kaepernick.
Look elsewhere for your every week QB.
2) C.J. Anderson RB Denver Broncos
Anderson went in our first round and could put up good numbers after a breakout year in 2014.
The issue with Anderson is that he plays for the Broncos and a new coach in Gary Kubiak that use a belief in their running system more than a particular back.
Through the years,Denver more than any team befuddles fantasy owners by touting one back and using another,often one unknown.
If Anderson is the main back,he'll produce,but keep in mind who he plays for and try to tab Montee Ball to hedge your bets,if you must take Anderson...
3) Brandon Marshall WR New York Jets
Marshall's run of 1,000 yards seasons ended last season when he missed three games in Chicago before being traded to the Jets.
Marshall's problem is going to be his supporting cast as they are unlikely to take any pressure off him.
Eric Decker doesn't scare anyone on the other side,the running game is pedestrian to be nice and throwing the ball to him is Ryan Fitzpatrick and Geno Smith when he returns from injury.
Marshall may have a few standout games,but I'll bet he has more games with average at best numbers...
4) Jeremy Maclin WR Kansas City Chiefs
I had Jeremy Maclin last season and was rewarded with a big year,but going to Andy (Spread it around) Reid in Kansas City won't improve those stats.
Remember yesterday when I wrote about Travis Kelce being the player that benefits from the arm of Alex Smith?
Jeremy Maclin,despite excellent talent,will be the player that is hurt by that same arm.
If you can get him in the middle rounds as a flex player,go for it,but counting on him as one of your two top WR's is a huge gamble....
5) Jordan Cameron TE Miami Dolphins
Jordan Cameron has the type of talent to rank with the best tight ends in the game.
He makes big plays and has excellent hands-when he stays on the field that is.
Cameron never played an entire season with the Browns and he has had multiple concussions,so Cameron is one head shot away from missing the season,so make sure that you have a decent backup in case you take a chance on him...
Bonus Defender
Curtis Lofton LB Oakland Raiders
Remember for those of you new to IDP (Individual Defensive Players) that often times the players with the biggest names are mediocre fantasy defenders.
Linebackers that roll up tackles are the most valuable and Curtis Lofton has been among the best in his career with a career high 100 solo tackles last season with the Saints.
The problem is that you cannot count on that since he is now a Raider.
Many times a player that moves from team to team ,particularly when a veteran,doesn't compile the same stats whether it's a new position,a new defensive formation etc,so veterans with new teams can be risky.
I think Lofton will be productive,but perhaps not at the level that he played at in New Orleans.
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